AI DAMN/GenCast - High-Precision AI Weather Forecasting Model

GenCast - High-Precision AI Weather Forecasting Model

date
Dec 10, 2024
damn
language
en
status
Published
type
Products
image
https://www.ai-damn.com/1733802819862-202412051406338761.jpg
slug
gencast-high-precision-ai-weather-forecasting-model-1733802916279
tags
AI Weather Forecasting
Extreme Weather
Generative AI
Google DeepMind
Weather Technology
summary
GenCast is an AI-powered weather forecasting model developed by Google DeepMind. It offers high-precision weather predictions for up to 15 days, outperforming existing systems like ECMWF's ENS. Utilizing diffusion models, it delivers faster and more accurate forecasts, particularly for extreme weather events.
notion image
 

Product Introduction

 
GenCast is an advanced AI weather forecasting model developed by Google DeepMind. It leverages the power of generative AI and diffusion models to provide high-resolution (0.25°) weather forecasts for up to 15 days. The model excels in predicting daily weather patterns and extreme weather events with remarkable precision, outperforming existing systems like the ECMWF ENS. With its public release of code and prediction results, GenCast aims to support a broader weather forecasting community.
 

Key Features

 
  • High-Precision Forecasts: Offers up to 15-day weather forecasts with a resolution of 0.25°.
  • Superior Accuracy: Outperforms ECMWF's ENS system in predicting daily and extreme weather events.
  • AI-Driven Predictions: Based on generative AI and diffusion models, the model learns from historical weather data to generate precise probability distributions for future weather scenarios.
  • Extreme Weather Forecasting: Provides more accurate predictions of extreme weather events, such as high and low temperatures and wind speeds.
  • Fast Prediction Generation: A single Google Cloud TPU v5 can generate a 15-day forecast in just 8 minutes.
  • Historical Data Training: Trained on 40 years of ECMWF ERA5 dataset, ensuring robust forecasting capabilities.
  • Global Reach: The model adapts to the spherical geometry of Earth to improve its predictions on a global scale.
  • Publicly Available Resources: The model’s code, weights, and predictions will be released to support the weather forecasting community.

Product Data

 
  • Model Type: Generative AI, Diffusion Model
  • Forecast Resolution: 0.25°
  • Forecast Duration: Up to 15 days
  • Training Data: 40 years of historical weather data from ECMWF's ERA5 dataset
  • Performance: Outperforms ECMWF ENS in 97.2% of test targets, especially beyond 36 hours
  • Prediction Speed: Generates 15-day forecast in 8 minutes with a single Google Cloud TPU v5

Product Link

 

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